Home > Uncategorized > UPDATE 1-Fat and getting fatter: U.S. obesity rates to soar by 2030 – chicagotribune.com

UPDATE 1-Fat and getting fatter: U.S. obesity rates to soar by 2030 – chicagotribune.com

September 19, 2012 Leave a comment Go to comments

* In 13 states, more than 60 percent of adults are projected

to be obese

* Additional medical costs could reach $66 billion per year

By Sharon Begley

NEW YORK, Sept 18 (Reuters) – If Americans stick to their

eating and exercise habits, future historians will look back on

the early 21st century as a golden age of svelte.

Using a model of population and other trends, a new report

released on Tuesday by the Trust for America’s Health and the

Robert Wood Johnson Foundation projects that half of U.S. adults

will be obese by 2030 unless Americans change their ways.

The “F as in Fat” report also highlights the current glum

picture of the U.S. obesity epidemic, in which 35.7 percent of

adults and 16.9 percent of children age 2 to 19 are obese, as

the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported

earlier this year.

But in its first forecast, the report builds on

state-by-state data from the CDC to project obesity rates. In

every state, that rate will reach at least 44 percent by 2030.

In 13, that number would exceed 60 percent.

Obesity raises the risk of numerous diseases, from type 2

diabetes to endometrial cancer, meaning more sick people and

higher medical costs in the future, the report said.

It projects as many as 7.9 million new cases of diabetes a

year, compared with 1.9 million new cases in recent years. There

could also be 6.8 million new cases of chronic heart disease and

stroke every year, compared with 1.3 million new cases a year


The increasing burden of illness will go right to the bottom

line, adding $66 billion in annual obesity-related medical costs

over and above today’s $147 billion to $210 billion. Total U.S.

healthcare spending is estimated at $2.7 trillion.

That projection supports a study published earlier this year

in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine that found that

by 2030, 42 percent of U.S. adults could be obese, adding $550

billion to healthcare costs over that period.

via UPDATE 1-Fat and getting fatter: U.S. obesity rates to soar by 2030 – chicagotribune.com.

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